In this episode of Bettor Thinking, Dan Abrams (author of "But How Much Did You Lose?") challenges conventional sports betting wisdom with mathematical proof that will change how you think about bankroll management.

Dan explains why the common "never hedge" mentality is fundamentally flawed and demonstrates how negative EV hedges can actually maximize your bankroll's expected growth. Through clear examples and mathematical analysis, he breaks down:

• Why Expected Growth (EG) can be more important than Expected Value (EV) • The mathematics behind optimal position sizing • How the Kelly Criterion really works (and why most bettors misuse it) • Why most "flat bettors" aren't really flat betting • The truth about win rate ceilings for professional bettors • When negative EV hedges are the sharp play

This isn't your typical betting podcast with hot picks and empty promises. Instead, Dan provides advanced bankroll management strategies that separate the pros from the amateurs.

Whether you're betting hundreds or hundreds of thousands, this episode will fundamentally change how you approach position sizing and hedging opportunities.

Tags: Sports Betting, Gambling, Bankroll Management, Kelly Criterion, Sports Trading, Risk Management, Expected Value, Hedging Strategy

World-renowned behavioral economist Dan Ariely joins Better Thinking to explore why we make poor decisions and how to outsmart our own instincts. While not a sports bettor himself, Dr. Ariely's groundbreaking research into human behavior offers invaluable insights for anyone looking to make better betting decisions.

In this fascinating discussion, we explore: • Why humans are naturally poor at handling risk • How stress affects our ability to spot patterns • The psychology behind why we hold onto losing positions • Why some people thrive on uncertainty while others avoid it

Dr. Ariely, bestselling author and TED speaker, brings a fresh perspective to sports betting psychology that you won't find anywhere else. Whether you're a professional bettor or just getting started, this episode will change how you think about decision-making.

🎯 In this episode of The Bettor Thinking Podcast, we sit down with Ed Miller, a former Microsoft engineer turned professional gambler who's been crushing betting markets since 2003. From the poker boom to today's sports betting landscape, Ed breaks down where the real edges exist in modern betting markets.

🔑 Key Topics: • Why same-game parlays and live betting markets are still beatable • How correlation creates exploitable opportunities • The truth about "top-down" betting approaches • Real examples of profitable betting strategies • The evolution of betting markets from poker to sports betting

📚 Ed Miller's Must-Read Books: "The Logic of Sports Betting" "Interception: Modern Sports Betting"

🔗 Follow Ed Miller: Twitter: @EdMillerPoker

🎙️ Follow The Bettor Thinking Podcast: Twitter:@theSharpApp Instagram:@statsational Website: bettorthinkingpod.com

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